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CLACKAMAS COUNTY FAIR & RODEO
Tuesday, August 16, 2022 at 10:00 am
CLACKAMAS COUNTY FAIR & RODEO August 16-20, 2022 10am - 10pm
Clackamas County Events Center 694 NE 4th Ave. Canby, OR 97013



Salem Keizer We Stand Together Education Forum
Wednesday, August 17, 2022 at 7:30 am
Celeste Guptill has been involved in some facet of alternative education for over twenty years. She has participated with several different homeschool methods, researched and advocated in Salem-Keizer for charter schools. She is going to present several options for alternative education models available and give tips on how to access those, to help you find what will work best for your family.
The Rec, 3500 River Road North, Keizer



Oregon State Fair
Friday, August 26, 2022 at 10:00 am
Which part of the Oregon State Fair are you most excited for? We'll keep adding to the fun all summer long!
Salem, Or



Washington County Candidate Meet and Greet
Wednesday, August 31, 2022 at 6:30 pm
Join our Washington County State House and Senate Candidates and Oregon State and National Candidates to discuss issues that are important to you, your family, and your community. Refreshments provided.
King City Clubhouse 15245 SW 116th Ave. King City, Oregon 97224



Linn County GOP Gala and Auction
Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 5:00 pm
Keynote Speaker Dave Sanderson, 2009 "Miracle on the Hudson" survivor.

linngop.com/galatickets
Linn County Expo Center



Washington County GOP Reagan Dinner
Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 6:00 pm
Tickets for Reagan Dinner 2022 in Hillsboro September 17th, now on sale at www.washco.gop, featuring former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.



Oregon General Election
Tuesday, November 8, 2022 at 8:00 pm
Statewide


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Analysis: Salmon and Science
Conclusions and causes fly off the page. Data is slim or threadbare.

The word "Science" is quickly becoming a junk term. What should be the result of careful study and peer-reviewed scrutiny and the very basis for policy, is now nothing more than colorfully packaged ideology nearly always with a pre-determined solution that often drives radical policy or foolish government spending. In times of huge gains in productivity, it's easy to overlook bad policy.

Possibly the best example of this is the supposed "decline" of salmon. Real data exists. Science is possible, but actual science might get in the way of highly impactful dam removal or massive government spending.

For instance, an OPB report on the failure of hatcheries and the supposed decline in salmon over the decades contains many personal stories and bleak reports but few facts and no actual presentation of data.

The hatcheries were supposed to stop the decline of salmon. They haven’t. The numbers of each of the six salmon species native to the Columbia basin have dropped to a fraction of what they once were, and 13 distinct populations are now considered threatened or endangered. Nearly 250 million young salmon, most of them from hatcheries, head to the ocean each year — roughly three times as many as before any dams were built. But the return rate today is less than one-fifth of what it was decades ago. Out of the million salmon eggs fertilized at Carson, only a few thousand will survive their journey to the ocean and return upriver as adults, where they can provide food and income for fishermen or give birth to a new generation.

OPB offers no data to back up their dire reports. There are no counts, no numbers, no trend data. Just alarming reports and bleak predictions. They even admit that there are more salmon. Data be damned -- they have police objectives to achieve.

"Each passing year of poor returns worsens the outlook for salmon. While salmon runs fluctuate from year to year and this year’s returns have been higher than those of the past few years, human-caused climate change continues to warm the ocean and rivers, and the failure to improve salmon survival rates has left the region’s tribes facing a future without either wild or hatchery fish. Federal scientists project that salmon survival will decline by as much as 90% over the next 40 years."

How much higher? It would be nice to see some numbers, or maybe a chart of fish counts over time.

Johanna Chao Kreilick is the president of the Union of Concerned Scientists, which -- just by virtue of their name -- should be expected to produce science. Their report on Climate Hot Map: Global Warming Effects Around the World falls short on science. The data is available. Fish counts have been collected on the Columbia river since the early 1960s. Yet, these supposedly scientific papers have little data. Only hyperbole and dire predictions.

Human activities such as dam building, logging, pollution, and overfishing have already depressed salmon populations in the Northwest to historically low levels. Many salmon species are classified as threatened or endangered. Salmon populations in the Columbia River system are down more than 90 percent, and most wild Pacific salmon are either extinct or imperiled in more than half the range they once occupied in the Northwest and California. Climate change imposes stresses on salmon throughout their lifecycle."

The data in the chart below is simple. The conclusions are clear and obvious. There is no need for complex analysis. Fish counts at Bonneville dam fluctuate over the decades, but there is no negative trend. In fact, the total quantity of fish seems to have increased around the turn of the century. Is there no scientist that can recognize this? Conclusions and causes fly off the page. Data is slim or threadbare. It's frightening to think that this is how policy gets made. Again, the data is available to do the science.


--Staff Reports

Post Date: 2022-05-29 12:07:56Last Update: 2022-05-29 13:54:08



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