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Analysis: Slender GOP Leads have a History of Melting
Experts point to late money and volunteer efforts of public employee unions

As the election nears, wary -- and weary -- Republicans remember previous contests in which election night saw very narrow margins -- even slim leads -- turn to defeat. This year may be setting the stage for a similar outcome.

In 2010,Chris Dudley, who was ahead by just a few points on election night ended up losing by a few points.

Four years later, Kitzhaber defeated Dennis Richardson in a very close race, also.

What makes this possible? Many experts think that it's the late money and volunteer efforts of public employee unions who can pinpoint resources where needed.

The Drazan campaign released poll results on the eve of the election showing her leading by a slim margin. Will 2022 be a repeat of previous years, or will this be the time that the GOP is able to turn the tide in Mahonia Hall? Chances are we won't find out on Tuesday night.

Many Oregon Republican voters are certainly nervous about the results of Tuesday's election. They have witnessed reasons to be nervous in the past. Oregon Republican voters may go to bed Tuesday night believing that their candidate is winning, only to awaken the next day disappointed to see the election favor the Democrat candidate.


--Staff Reports

Post Date: 2022-11-08 21:00:03Last Update: 2022-11-08 21:07:14



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